Wednesday, May 19, 2010

Yesterday's Elections

I'm not a political analyst, so I'll leave the analysis to others.  I'd just warn you that 90% of those who claim to be political analysts aren't very good at it, or have agendas other than providing the unvarnished truth.

Here are a few links for your consideration:

Monday, May 17, 2010

The Financial Crisis Explained - Gambling With Other People's Money

Russ Roberts has made a career out of explaining difficult economic topics by relating them to ordinary life in a readable manner.  He explained why we should support free trade in The Choice and other economic concepts in several other novels that involve economic themes.

He's just issued a paper that explains the recent financial crisis very well.  You can download it here.

His critique is well balanced and very nuanced.  It covers all the bases to some degree, although it focuses most heavily on the problem he sees at the heart of the matter: government actions created a bailout expectation that led creditors to not act with their usual caution when it came to the housing market.  He partitions blame between the government and private actors who advocated the government's actions for personal gain.  I like that he takes a degree of personal responsibility, acknowledging that he had downplayed concerns about high leverage (ratio of debt to capital).  Most important, he rejects any easy, simplistic answers from the left (Wall Street Greed) or right (all due to Freddie and Fannie).

Here's just a very short "summary of the summary" to give you a taste:
In the United States we like to believe we are a capitalist society based on individual responsibility. But we are what we do. Not what we say we are. Not what we wish to be. But what we do. And what we do in the United States is make it easy to gamble with other people’s money—particularly borrowed money—by making sure that almost everybody who makes bad loans gets his money back anyway. The financial crisis of 2008 was a natural result of these perverse incentives. We must return to the natural incentives of profit and loss if we want to prevent future crises.
I don't agree with everything he says, this is probably one of the best pieces I've seen for those who aren't financial policy buffs but want to understand the connection between government activity and the economy a little bit better.