I'm not a political analyst, so I'll leave the analysis to others. I'd just warn you that 90% of those who claim to be political analysts aren't very good at it, or have agendas other than providing the unvarnished truth.
Here are a few links for your consideration:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/
http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/
http://rothenbergpoliticalreport.blogspot.com/
http://www.cookpolitical.com/
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